Whale trader pairs nearly $15.9 million in Hyperliquid shorts with Polymarket hedges
Monitoring data from TradingBeats, formerly Hyperinsight, shows that trader 「LucasMeow」 is running a sizable bearish book across platforms. On Hyperliquid, the account holds roughly $15.889 million in combined BTC and ETH short positions, including a 100 BTC short opened with 40x cross leverage and a 5,000 ETH short opened with 25x cross leverage. The two positions are currently showing about $503,000 in unrealized profit while using around $539,000 in margin.
On Polymarket, the same trader has deployed about $466,700 across eight prediction positions described as a form of insurance for the shorts. Those include wagers that BTC will not fall into six lower price bands between $15,000 and $45,000 this year, that ETH will not drop to $800, and that Satoshi Nakamoto will not move BTC this year. TradingBeats said the maximum profit from those prediction positions is only about $50,800 even if they all settle in the trader’s favor, despite the capital committed being equal to 86.5% of the current margin used by the shorts.
Under a static calculation cited by TradingBeats, if BTC rises to $96,715.7 and ETH rises to $2,542.59, the liquidation impact on the two short positions would total about $5.993 million. The trader also still has two non-reduce-only BTC sell orders at $62,277 and $61,500, intending to add another 125 BTC in shorts worth roughly $7.715 million notionally.